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El Niño and Its Impact on Different Parts of India: Agricultural Consequences and Regional Effects

22 June 2026

The Indian monsoon is the lifeline of the country's agriculture, economy, and water resources. Nearly 60% of India's cultivated land depends on rainfall during the southwest monsoon (June–September). Any variation in monsoon rainfall directly affects crop production, groundwater recharge, food security, and rural livelihoods.

One of the most important global climatic phenomena influencing the Indian monsoon is El Niño. Although it originates thousands of kilometres away in the Pacific Ocean, El Niño has the power to alter rainfall patterns across the globe, including India. Understanding El Niño helps farmers, agricultural professionals, policymakers, and researchers make informed decisions regarding crop planning and water management.

El Niño is one of the most influential climate phenomena affecting India's weather, particularly the southwest monsoon (June–September. Since nearly 55–60% of India's net sown area depends on monsoon rainfall, even a weak El Niño can significantly affect agriculture, water resources, food production, and the economy.

What is El Niño?

El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon characterised by the unusual warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. It is part of a larger climate cycle called the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which has three phases:

  • El Niño – Warmer-than-normal Pacific Ocean temperatures.
  • La Niña – Cooler-than-normal Pacific Ocean temperatures.
  • Neutral – Neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions prevail.

El Niño events typically occur every 2–7 years and last for about 9–12 months, although some events may continue for more than a year.

How El Niño Affects the Indian Monsoon

During El Niño, unusually warm waters in the central and eastern Pacific weakens the trade winds and shifts the rising branch of atmospheric circulation (Walker Circulation) eastward over the Pacific. As a result:

  • Moisture transport towards India decreases.
  • The southwest monsoon becomes weaker or erratic.
  • Occurrence of longer dry spells and uneven rainfall distribution.
  • Increased risk of drought and moisture stress.
  • Higher temperatures and frequent heat waves.
  • Increased evapotranspiration and irrigation demand.
  • Reduced reservoir storage and groundwater recharge.
  • Water scarcity during the rabi season.


Impact of El Niño on Agriculture in different parts of India

El Niño affects agriculture differently across India because its influence on monsoon rainfall varies from region to region. Areas dependent on rainfed farming, especially central, western and northwestern India, are generally more vulnerable to delayed rainfall, prolonged dry spells and reduced crop productivity, while the intensity of impacts differs with local climate and cropping systems.

1. Northwest India (Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, W. UP)

  • Reduced monsoon rainfall and delayed onset
  • Rice, cotton, bajra and maize affected
  • Increased dependence on groundwater irrigation.

2. Central India (MP, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha)

  • Highly affected rainfed region
  • Delayed sowing of soybean, cotton and maize
  • Moisture stress reduces crop yields.

3. Western India (Maharashtra, Gujarat)

  • Lower reservoir storage after irrigation
  • Reduced yields of cotton, soybean and groundnut
  • Sugarcane faces moisture stress and lower productivity.

4. Southern Peninsular India (Karnataka, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala)

  • Rainfall deficit and higher irrigation demand
  • Reduced productivity in maize, pulses, paddy, cotton and spices.
  • Lower fodder availability for animals in rabi season.

5. Eastern India (Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, West Bengal)

  • Delayed rice transplantation
  • Reduced tillering and grain filling
  • Uneven rainfall and drought stress.

6. Northeast India (Assam, Meghalaya and other NE states)

  • Altered rainfall distribution
  • Lower productivity of rice, tea and horticultural crops
  • Reduced river flow for irrigation

How Multiplex Yuktix Gida Bits Helps Farmers During El Niño and Rainfall Deficit

During El Niño years, when rainfall is erratic and water becomes scarce, the Multiplex Yuktix Gida Bits Smart Sensor helps farmers make better irrigation and crop management decisions using real-time field data.

  • Monitors real-time soil moisture to know exactly when irrigation is needed.
  • Provides crop-specific irrigation advisories based on soil moisture, crop stage, weather forecast and evapotranspiration.
  • Saves irrigation water by avoiding over- and under-irrigation.
  • Improves crop yield by maintaining optimum soil moisture during critical growth stages.
  • Sends weather-based alerts to help farmers plan irrigation and field operations.
  • Provides mobile alerts (App & SMS) in local languages for timely decisions.
  • Works continuously in the field with a solar-powered, wireless, IP67 waterproof design.
  • Monitors soil temperature, air temperature and humidity, helping farmers better manage crops under heat and moisture stress.
  • Supports climate-smart farming, enabling efficient water use and improved resilience during drought and delayed monsoons.


Conclusion

Currently in 2026, El Niño is contributing to below-normal and uneven monsoon rainfall across many parts of India, increasing drought risk and affecting kharif crops. Adopting climate-smart farming, efficient irrigation, water conservation, and timely weather-based advisories is helping farmers reduce losses and improve agricultural resilience.



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